By Konrad Heid
Globe guest columnist
My wife suggests it doesn’t do any good to argue with the pundits of financial wisdom on television or yell to the interviewing news host to ask the hard questions and get straight answers to the ones they do ask.
Alan Greenspan may be an economic hero in some quarters, but I still think he was so far removed from the real world he didn’t understand how he was helping engineer our economy and the economies of the world into the current mess.
What I think he didn’t understand is human nature, “Show me money, I’ll take it whether or not I have the capacity to repay.”
Low interest rates over lengthy periods of time can wreak havoc on an economy; they create excesses all across the spectrum, in business expansion and personal-credit usage. The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to those sub-basement levels of 3 percent and 4 percent in 2001-03 and left them there for months on end.
However, before Greenspan’s faux pas, Congress wreaked its own havoc. In the late 1990s Congress created the “easy avenue to personal credit disaster.” It mandated the leading mortgage providers, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, lending to folks who really couldn’t afford — subprime — any of the many repayment schemes that were devised in response to the congressional mandate. Add the low mortgage interest rate offerings and already excessive credit-use levels as acceptable to qualify for a residential loan. It was a disastrous combination.
A third disarraying factor that currently has huge effects on financial institution balance sheets was the decision in the 1970s to change accounting standards led by accounting oversight folks, requiring “mark-to-market.” Asset values were no longer what was paid for them; each month-end value was to be marked to what the market said they were worth on that day.
I believe these were the three major ingredients playing off of each other as to how we got here — mark-to-market accounting, subprime loan mandate and low interest rates for extended time.
Now, what suddenly kicked off this turmoil in the credit markets? Reports of higher residential loan delinquencies, more defaults expected, probable declining home prices, higher number of homes for sale — these headlines began the roll of an ever enlarging snowball.
Banks and other investors in home mortgages, even though the customers were still paying as agreed, suddenly found the market value of that asset had declined significantly — enter “mark-to-market.” As mortgage holders marked down their investment portfolios to current market value, their balance sheets suddenly were void of capital. How can this be just a paper entry? Welcome to the world of accounting!
“What? You have no capital on your balance sheet,” bank to bank suddenly said. “I can’t continue doing business with you since you have no capital.” Huge amounts of funds move from bank to bank daily or at least they did. Individual investors and depositors said, “I can’t continue doing business with you since you have no capital, give me my money!” Some mortgage banks were leveraged up to 40 to 1 — less than 2 percent capital — and they were dead in the water. When forced to sell assets (mortgages) at 70 cents and 80 cents on the dollar to meet investor demands mortgage banks were immediately broke. The effects of the collapse of Bear Stearns rippled around the world, waves quickly followed — there are still more to come. Banks are no longer willing to lend to each other. This is the liquidity crisis that we keep reading about. Some banks are so strapped they can no longer lend to non-banks either.
Banks in the U.S. traditionally have been required to have 5 percent to 8 percent capital with 8 percent to 10 percent capital common with community banks, lessor with the large banks.
Something you may not have heard too much about yet, but it’s out there, is the collapse of the Auction Rate Securities market. Many banks and brokerage firms were offering this avenue of investment to increase earnings for their customers. I had not heard anyone raise the issue of undue risk before the collapse and I didn’t know it had become such a huge investment vehicle. The lack of willingness to make additional investments or to continue lending between large financial institutions around the world, also, led to the collapse of the ARS auction leaving hundreds of investors with limited recovery options.
Governments around the world are scrambling to infuse capital into their economies.
Here in the United States we’ve heard a lot about the $700 billion Congress approved to assist our banks and other finance-providing entities. Mark-to-market accounting, lack of interchange between institutions and mounting loan losses are wiping out banks across this country.
Keeping in mind financial institutions often reflect the communities where they do business, what does this tell us about our economy and the economic health around this globe? Our financial experts are charting in new waters. Does anyone know the direction of the wind from one day or one hour to the next? We can guess, but that’s about the best we can do. I hope someone gets it right. Soon.
Barbara, can I still yell at Barney and Alan?
Konrad Heid is a former Joplin bank president. He lives in Joplin.
Opinion
Guest column, Konrad Heid: Trying to make sense of it all
- Opinion
-
-
Our View: Victims should come first
Millions of dollars in donations have poured in from around the world since the May 22, 2011, tornado. Those donations represent money from lemonade stands, charity auctions, corporate gifts and celebrity checks, just to name a few. In fact, one year later donations continue to come to Joplin.
-
Beth Meeker, guest columnist: Same-sex marriage battle a quest for equal rights
I would like to take a moment to reply to guest columnist Anson Burlingame’s, “The Marriage Debate” (Globe, May 13).
-
Sunday Forum: 2012 graduation speakers key on tornado, mall school and president’s visit
Editor’s note: In addition to speeches by President Barack Obama and Gov. Jay Nixon, Joplin High School’s top students addressed graduates, faculty, parents and other guests packed into the Leggett & Platt Athletic Center on the Missouri Southern State University campus. Following are the text of those speeches.
-
Geoff Caldwell, guest columnist: Pack mentality takes truth as a casualty
President Obama’s Joplin graduation speech Monday showed that while there’s the political “right,” there’s also a very active “rabid” political right.
-
Your View: ‘Study’ can mean anything
A few evenings ago, I watched a television program on the science of marriage.
-
Our View: Support for museum
How can you tell the story of Joplin without the accounts of its mining history?
-
Our View: Finding middle ground
The G-8 summit held last week in Camp David ended as expected.
-
Anson Burlingame, guest columnist: Class of 2012 upholds character, hope
My oldest granddaughter was part of the class of 2012 from Joplin High School, and I attended the ceremony on Monday night.
-
Scott Charton, guest columnist: 'Deadline in Disaster' film a story about storytellers
Local newspapers are at their best when they help their communities confront, understand, endure and overcome shared challenges.
-
Our View: Make voting easiser
This year’s ballot will not include a proposed constitutional amendment that photo identification be required at the polls in Missouri. Good.
- More Opinion Headlines
-
Our View: Victims should come first


